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Investment Philosophy and Process
Our core philosophy is that
the purpose of equities investing is to generate positive risk
adjusted returns.
Our belief is that a combination of solid research
and an understanding of the persistent inefficiencies
found in the Australian equities market will achieve this goal.
There are a number of behavioural biases that permeate the market. Our
experience has shown that the market regularly experiences difficulty
reconciling the degree to which fundamental information is already
factored into security prices. We have also observed that the market
can be slow in certain circumstances to reflect changing company’s
fundamentals into its security price. Our process is therefore designed
to focus on situations where these biases are most likely to exist; we
are looking for situations where the market has incorrectly priced a
company’s fundamentals.
This belief sees our investment process use an initial
screening framework to highlight securities where there are
likely to be errors in market expectations and where they could change
to impact security prices. It is in these ‘breeding grounds’ of
inefficiency where we have the most experience in generating excellent
returns and therefore where we focus the majority of our research
effort.
Our research process uses competitive strategy
analysis integrated with financial analysis to determine a fair return
on capital a company should be generating. We then compare this return
on capital figure to that implied by the current security price. Where
there is a material difference we ask ourselves two key questions:
- Why does this difference
exist?
- What are the catalysts
for it to close?
If we are able to provide
salient answers to these two questions, we will consider investing.
Furthermore, we must have a view on the timing of the catalyst for a
favourable shift in expectations and at best see the early signs of
adjustment. We would rather observe change than predict it.
Finally, we believe that a strong risk control
framework is necessary. We are quick to change our mind if the facts
change and our investment is case nullified. We believe that escalation
of commitment is a common mistake in investment management and will
prevent it through a transparent investment case that can be regularly
stress tested by our Investment Committee. As a supporting measure, we
have in place strict stop losses for all positions.
Our Investment Principles
Evergreen Capital Partners has
five key investment principles:
1. Discipline:
We follow a disciplined investment process that is based on a wide body
of academic research and our own market experience.
2. Research: We are a
research-driven organisation; our research process identifies market
inefficiency at the security level.
3. Conviction:
We take relatively concentrated positions because we think good ideas
occur infrequently and - when discovered - should be exploited. We do
not mirror a benchmark.
4. Risk Aware: As a counter to
misplaced conviction, we focus heavily on risk control. We ensure our
Fund is well diversified and highly liquid.
5. Self Aware: We are aware of the
vast extent of behavioural biases and we are continuously re-assessing
our own positions, assumptions and arguments. If we are wrong we will
take action.
Find out more about our Australian Equities Return Fund.
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